Arm shares fall as soft forecast takes shine off AI optimism


(Reuters) -Shares of Arm Holdings fell on Thursday as the chip designer’s softer-than-expected annual revenue forecast cooled some of the enthusiasm around the stock following its AI-powered jump in recent months.

The stock fell as much as 8.5% before paring some of its losses to trade 1.5% lower at $104.50 in the afternoon.

Bets that Arm will benefit from a surge in AI computing have doubled the chipmaker’s share price since its initial public offer last September, giving it a market value of more than $100 billion.

“This is a typical case of ARM not being able to live up to heightened expectations,” said CFRA Research analyst Angelo Zino, adding that Arm’s business is overtly reliant on the smartphone market, which has recently shown slower growth.

UK-based Arm, which earns by licensing its chip designs and through royalties, has been expanding into the data center market where operators are looking to build their own chips to power new AI models and reduce their reliance on dominant supplier Nvidia.

“AI demand (for Arm’s technology) will take some time to grow into the revenue mix to absorb that weakness (from the smartphone market),” said Tejas Dessai, a research analyst at Global X ETFs.

The UK chip designer said it was expecting full-year revenue to be between $3.8 billion and $4.1 billion, the midpoint for which is slightly below the consensus estimate of $3.99 billion, according to LSEG data.

Its revenue in the March quarter and the forecast for the current quarter, however, came in above expectations.

At least two analysts cut their price target on Arm, whose chip designs power nearly every smartphone in the world.

Arm shares trade at 64.68 times its 12-month forward earnings estimates, significantly higher than the industry median of 19.95, according to LSEG data.

Shares of Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices were down 1.6% and 1%, respectively, on Thursday.

(Reporting by Yuvraj Malik in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D’Silva and Shilpi Majumdar)

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